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The encyclopedia · Finance & Accounting · Strategic decision · 2015–2026

Jiugui's ¥1,499 bottle now trades at ¥585 — first loss in 11 years

Jiugui grew from ¥601M to ¥4.05B of revenue in seven years on a ¥1,499 bottle. FY2025: revenue ¥1.1B, first loss in 11 years, rescued by a ¥200 label.

Jiugui Liquor (酒鬼酒, 000799.SZ) · 2026-04-28

What happened

Jiugui, listed in 1997 and distilled in western Hunan, was taken in hand by COFCO in 2015 and became the fastest-growing listed baijiu maker: revenue climbed from ¥601 million to ¥4.05 billion in 2022, with profit of ¥1.049 billion crossing the ¥1 billion line for the first time. The engine was premiumization — a strategy of 'breaking through the heights and deep nationalization', anchored on the Neican bottle with a suggested retail price of ¥1,499.

FY2025 (published April 28, 2026): revenue ¥1.108 billion, down 22.17%; an attributable loss of ¥33.95 million — the first annual loss since 2014 — with the ex-items loss at ¥29.88 million. Revenue is now just over a quarter of the 2022 peak. Neican, the flagship, fell from ¥715 million in 2023 to ¥235 million in 2024 and ¥168 million in 2025, while its wholesale price sank to about ¥585 against the ¥1,499 sticker — a 60% inversion. Selling expenses ran at 32.49% of revenue, the highest among listed baijiu makers, and distributor prepayments shrank from ¥245 million to ¥175 million.

The lifeline is a supermarket. In July 2025 Jiugui launched 'Jiugui · Ziyouai', co-developed with Pang Donglai: a ¥200 clear-bottle baijiu costing ¥168.26 to make, at a gross margin of 15.87% against more than 60% on core products. Half a year of sales reached ¥196 million — 17.66% of the year's total — and the supermarket became the company's largest customer, ahead of the distributor network it spent a decade building. With SKUs cut by 60%, Q1 2026 profit turned positive again at ¥33.18 million, though revenue still fell 7.78%.

Why it happened

  • Premiumization on borrowed demand: the ¥1,499 Neican chased the banquet-era price umbrella; when demand vanished, wholesale prices inverted 60% and the flagship line collapsed to ¥168 million.
  • Spending stayed while revenue fell: the selling-expense ratio reached 32.49% in FY2025, the highest among listed baijiu makers — the nationalization push kept paying into a shrinking channel.
  • Governance never settled: 29 years listed, profit down in 12 of them, at least 10 chairmen and 7 general managers — the premium push was built on a revolving door.
What it costRevenue -73% from peak; first loss in 11 yearscostly

The lesson

Jiugui bet on a ¥1,499 flagship and the banquet boom beneath it. When the boom ended, wholesale prices inverted 60% — and the fastest-growing baijiu maker was rescued by a supermarket's ¥200 label.

Aftermath

Q1 2026 keeps the pattern: revenue ¥317 million, still down 7.78%, but profit positive again. The stated plan is to follow the Pang Donglai playbook into more supermarket channels, launch a Xiangquan light-bottle line, and reserve low-alcohol products. The dependence is the problem: Ziyouai earns a 15.87% gross margin against more than 60% on the core range, and one retailer now buys nearly a fifth of output. Whether a ¥200 bottle can rebuild what a ¥1,499 bottle broke is the open question.

Sources

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