The encyclopedia · Trading & Investing · Financial decision · 2021–2025
Tsingshan's short squeeze broke the LME — $19.7B in margin calls, 9,000 trades cancelled
A Chinese steel giant's short position in nickel hit $8B in margin calls. The LME suspended trading, cancelled 9,000 trades, and nearly collapsed.
Tsingshan Holding Group · London Metal Exchange · 2022-03-08
What happened
The London Metal Exchange is the world's oldest and largest metals exchange, trading $16 trillion in contracts annually. In March 2022, it faced the most severe crisis in its 145-year history when a single Chinese company's short position triggered a $19.7 billion margin call that nearly collapsed the clearing house.
Tsingshan Holding Group, a Chinese stainless steel and nickel producer, had built a short position of more than 150,000 tonnes of nickel — roughly 25,000 LME lots — to hedge its production. When Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 February 2022, nickel prices surged to a ten-year high on concerns that Russian supply from Norilsk Nickel would be disrupted. By 4 March, nickel was trading at $29,130 per tonne. On 7 March, it rose 69% to close at $50,300. On 8 March, it spiked to an intraday peak of $101,365 per tonne — a 270% surge in three days.
The margin calls were catastrophic. LME Clear's first margin call on 7 March totalled over $5.1 billion, and four clearing members missed the deadline. An intraday margin call on 8 March was projected at $19.75 billion — enough to default seven clearing members and exceed the clearing house's pre-funded resources by $220 million. The LME suspended trading on 8 March and cancelled all nickel trades executed since midnight — roughly 9,000 trades worth up to $12 billion. Tsingshan avoided an estimated $8 billion loss by securing a standstill with its brokers.
Why it happened
- Tsingshan built a 150,000+ tonne nickel short to hedge its production, but the position was far larger than the market could absorb — when prices surged, margin calls hit $8 billion in a day
- The LME's margin system was not designed for a 270% price surge in three days — the planned $19.75 billion intraday margin call would have collapsed the clearing house, triggering defaults at 7 firms
- The LME's position limits did not apply to hedging positions, so Tsingshan's outsized short grew unchecked — the exchange had no way to flag a position that could threaten the whole system
- The LME's decision to cancel trades, while preventing a systemic collapse, set a dangerous precedent — the exchange chose legal certainty over market integrity, damaging its reputation as price-setter
The lesson
A margin system that cannot survive a 270% move in three days is not a safety net — it is a fuse. The LME near-collapsed because a position structure made the clearing house the only backstop.
Sources
- CUHK Business School — The Story of Failed Hedging in the Nickel Crisis (Tsingshan's 300,000-tonne position, price surge from $27,080 to $100,000, $6.35B margin call, LME trade cancellation; freely accessible case study)
- Fatih Ai — Case: LME nickel squeeze and Tsingshan (150,000+ tonne short position, 270% price surge, $5.1B margin call, $19.75B projected margin call, 9,000 cancelled trades, timeline; freely accessible case study with references)
- Wikipedia — London Metal Exchange (trade cancellation on 8 March 2022, Elliott Management lawsuit for $456M, Jane Street lawsuit for $15.3M, High Court ruling, FCA £9.2M fine)
- U.S. Office of Financial Research — Lessons From Trade Cancellation at the LME in March 2022 (OFR Brief 25-01, regulatory analysis of the systemic implications)
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