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The encyclopedia · Trading & Investing · Financial decision · 1998–2000

Tiger Management lost $2B shorting the yen — the trade that killed the fund

Julian Robertson's Tiger Management lost $2B on a yen short trade in 1998 — triggering a redemption spiral that closed the $22B hedge fund.

Tiger Management · 1998-09

What happened

Tiger Management was the second-largest hedge fund in the world, founded by Julian Robertson in 1980. By mid-1998, it peaked at $22 billion in assets under management, known for its global macro strategy.

Tiger had a large short position on the Japanese yen paired with long exposures to US assets — a classic carry trade betting the dollar would strengthen against the yen. The trade initially generated roughly $2 billion in gains as Japan's economic stagnation drove yen depreciation.

In late August to early September 1998, the trade reversed catastrophically. The yen rallied sharply amid the Russian financial crisis and the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management, as global investors fled to the yen as a safe haven. Tiger lost approximately $2 billion in days — 12.6% of its flagship Jaguar fund alone. The fund also lost $600 million on Russian ruble debt.

The loss triggered a redemption spiral. Investors withdrew $7.7 billion between August 1998 and early 2000. Robertson refused to chase dot-com stocks he considered overvalued, and the fund lost 19% in 1999. By March 2000, Robertson liquidated the fund and returned all outside capital, calling the market a 'Ponzi pyramid.' Tiger Management became a family office.

Why it happened

  • Tiger's yen short was a massive leveraged directional bet that worked until the Russian crisis and LTCM collapse triggered a yen safe-haven rally — the opposite of what the trade needed.
  • The $2 billion loss in days exposed the fund's lack of risk management for tail events in currency markets. A single trade accounted for 12.6% of the flagship fund's value.
  • Robertson compounded the problem by refusing to adapt to the dot-com bubble, letting the fund post a 19% loss in 1999 while the market soared — accelerating the redemption spiral.
What it cost$2 billion loss; $7.7B in redemptions; fund closedcostly

The lesson

A $2 billion gain on a trade does not make it safe — Tiger's yen short worked for years and then destroyed the fund in days. Leverage turns a correct bet into a fatal one when the market disagrees.

Sources

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    Somewhere, someone solved the problem this company failed at. 2nd Opinion →