The encyclopedia · Trading & Investing · Financial decision · 2020
Parplus Partners lost $250M+ on VIX futures — a volatility bet that blew up
Jim Carney's Parplus Partners lost $250M+ trading CBOE Volatility Index futures and options in 2020, as the COVID crash created unprecedented volatility.
Parplus Partners · 2020-03
What happened
Parplus Partners was a hedge fund founded by Jim Carney that specialized in volatility trading, particularly using CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) futures and options. The VIX, often called the 'fear index,' measures expected market volatility and typically spikes during market crashes.
In 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic triggered a global market crash, Parplus Partners lost more than $250 million trading VIX futures and options. The loss likely resulted from a bet that volatility would decrease or normalize, a common trade that backfires when markets continue to be volatile. The unprecedented nature of the COVID crash created sustained volatility that overwhelmed the fund's positioning.
The case highlighted the extreme risks of trading volatility products, where even sophisticated investors can be caught wrong-footed by black swan events. The VIX futures market is notoriously difficult to predict, and leverage can amplify losses far beyond what the underlying market movement alone would suggest.
Why it happened
- Parplus Partners made a directional bet on VIX futures and options that assumed volatility would decline or normalize, but the COVID crash created sustained extreme volatility.
- VIX futures and options are leveraged instruments that can produce catastrophic losses when the market moves against the position, especially during tail events.
- The fund's volatility strategy was exposed to a black swan event that overwhelmed its risk management assumptions.
The lesson
Trading volatility is a bet that the market will not surprise you. The market always surprises you eventually.
Sources
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