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The encyclopedia · Trading & Investing · Financial decision · 2006–2008

Merrill Lynch's CDO machine — the 'thundering herd' that bet the firm on mortgage bonds

Merrill Lynch underwrote $93B in CDOs, keeping the riskiest pieces. When housing crashed, losses hit $51.8B. Bank of America bought it for a pittance.

Merrill Lynch · Bank of America · 2008-09-14

What happened

Merrill Lynch was one of the most storied names on Wall Street, founded in 1914 by Charles Merrill and Edmund Lynch. Its network of financial advisors, known as the 'thundering herd,' made it the largest brokerage in the United States. Under CEO Stanley O'Neal, the firm expanded aggressively into mortgage-backed securities, becoming the leading underwriter of collateralized debt obligations between 2006 and 2007.

To supply mortgages for its CDO machine, Merrill purchased First Franklin Financial Corp., a major subprime lender, in December 2006. Between 2006 and 2007, Merrill was the lead underwriter on 136 CDOs worth $93 billion — and held onto portions of the riskiest tranches on its own balance sheet. When the housing market turned, those positions collapsed. In November 2007, Merrill announced $8.4 billion in subprime write-downs, and O'Neal was terminated by the board.

John Thain took over in November 2007 and tried to stabilize the firm, raising $6 billion from Temasek and other investors. But the losses continued. In July 2008, Merrill reported a $4.9 billion quarterly loss. Between July 2007 and September 2008, the firm lost $51.8 billion on mortgage-backed securities. On September 14, 2008, the same weekend Lehman Brothers failed, Merrill was sold to Bank of America for $50 billion — a 61% discount from its peak.

Why it happened

  • Merrill was the leading underwriter of CDOs — 136 deals worth $93B in two years. The firm kept the riskiest pieces on its own balance sheet, concentrating risk in a single asset class.
  • The acquisition of First Franklin gave Merrill a pipeline of subprime mortgages to securitize — but it meant the firm was originating the loans it was betting on, creating a conflict of interest.
  • O'Neal was terminated after the $8.4B write-down, but the damage was done. The strategy of aggressive growth in mortgage-backed securities was built over years and could not be unwound quickly.
  • The sale to Bank of America was a fire sale — $50 billion for a firm worth over $100 billion a year earlier. The weekend of September 14, 2008, was when Wall Street changed forever.
What it cost$51.8B in losses, sold for $50Bcatastrophic

The lesson

When a firm is the leading underwriter of a product it also holds on its balance sheet, it is not a broker — it is a speculator. Merrill was both, and the roles destroyed each other.

Aftermath

Merrill Lynch was absorbed into Bank of America, which continued operating the wealth management division under the Merrill brand. The 'thundering herd' survived, but the independent bank did not. The case became a textbook example of how a firm's underwriting business can become a source of catastrophic trading risk. O'Neal's aggressive expansion into subprime was widely criticized as the cause of the collapse. Thain's brief tenure was marked by controversy over his lavish office renovation — a $1.2M bill that became a symbol of Wall Street's excess.

Sources

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