The encyclopedia · Strategy & Leadership · Strategic decision · 2025
Alibaba spent ¥50B to buy back food delivery — then capped the bet
In July 2025 Alibaba launched a ¥50B, 12-month subsidy blitz for Taobao Shangou. One quarter later: e-commerce profit down 77%, and investment shrinking.
Alibaba (阿里巴巴) · Taobao Shangou (淘宝闪购) · 2025-11-25
What happened
Alibaba rebuilt its food-delivery front in April 2025: Taobao's 'hourly delivery' was upgraded into Taobao Shangou, given a first-tier slot on the Taobao homepage, with Ele.me folded in to support it — and a subsidy program of over ¥10 billion to open the campaign. In July the bet was raised: ¥50 billion of subsidies over twelve months, across stores, products and delivery. Jiang Fan, head of Alibaba's China e-commerce, set the prize at ¥1 trillion of GMV within three years.
The results published November 25, 2025 showed the price. Group revenue rose 5% to ¥247.795 billion, but net income fell 53% to ¥20.612 billion and operating profit fell 85% to ¥5.365 billion. Sales and marketing expense rose 105% to ¥66.5 billion — from 13.7% of revenue to 26.8% — while operating cash flow dropped 68% to ¥10.1 billion and the cash pile shrank by ¥54.5 billion over two quarters. Instant retail revenue grew 60% to ¥22.906 billion; Dolphin Research estimated Shangou itself lost about ¥36 billion in the quarter, with the China e-commerce segment's profit down nearly 77%.
What the money bought: Taobao's daily active users rose 20% in August on Shangou's pull, and new instant-retail users placed over 100 million e-commerce orders during Double 11 — though CITIC Securities estimated their incremental GMV at only about 1% of e-commerce GMV. CFO Xu Hong called the quarter the peak of Shangou investment and said next-quarter spending would shrink significantly; by October the per-order loss had already halved against July-August. Fitch judged the subsidy war unsustainable and topping out in Q3 2025. The blitz was real — and so was the pullback.
Why it happened
- Instant retail was the fastest-growing front in Chinese retail and Alibaba had been losing ground — Taobao Shangou was the counterattack, priced like one.
- The war was fought with the income statement: sales expense doubled to ¥66.5 billion in one quarter, and the e-commerce engine's profit fell about 77%.
- Subsidies buy trial, not necessarily habit: new users' incremental GMV was estimated at ~1% of e-commerce GMV, so the spend was capped and cut.
The lesson
A subsidy blitz buys trial, not habit. Alibaba spent ¥50B to relaunch food delivery, took a ~¥36B quarterly loss and 77% off e-commerce profit — then capped the bet and called it the peak.
Aftermath
Jiang Fan keeps the ¥1-trillion-in-three-years GMV target but reframes it around efficiency and high-value users rather than scale. By October the per-order loss had halved against July-August, non-tea orders passed 75% of the mix, and Hema plus Tmall Supermarket flash orders were up 30% over August. Guidance sent next-quarter investment sharply down; the ¥1 trillion now has to be earned at retail discipline prices.
Sources
- Sina Finance — ¥50B of Shangou subsidies: what did it bring Alibaba?, 2025-12-02
- Tencent News — Alibaba results: Taobao Shangou losses halve, investment to shrink significantly, 2025-11-25
spotted an error? The club wants to know.
More like this
A mooncake scandal shrank Crazy Brother Yang's ¥1bn livestream empire to ¥250k streams
Pinduoduo posted its first annual profit decline — paying to win merchants back
The front-warehouse pioneer IPO'd at $5.5B — sold to Meituan for $717M
Somewhere, someone solved the problem this company failed at. 2nd Opinion →

Comments · 0
Sign in to join the comments.