Ford announced in January 2021 it would close its three Brazilian manufacturing plants, including the huge Camacari complex in Bahia, leaving only a small import business. Previously unreported filings in Sao Paulo state showed the scale: about $7.8 billion burned in accumulated losses and cash injections over the decade, plus $4.1 billion Ford would pay to extricate itself from its commitments. In its last eight years in production Ford lost roughly $2,000 on every car it sold, and monthly sales collapsed from 18,000 in April 2019 to 1,500 in April 2021.

Reuters sources pinned part of the failure on a strategic misstep: Ford had drafted a plan to shift from unprofitable compact cars to higher-margin SUVs — three models were on the table by late 2019 — but rivals like Volkswagen, GM and Toyota had already spent about two years retooling for SUVs. 'The truth is, Ford failed to modernize its product lineup at the same speed as its rivals,' said KPMG's Ricardo Bacellar. The plans never came to fruition; in April 2020 the pandemic forced a re-evaluation, and weeks after telling dealers to expect better sales in 2021, Ford halted production.

Brazil was brutal ground regardless: high tax, labor and logistics costs, a 35% import tariff, and a currency crash from 2013 that pushed Ford into deep-discount fleet sales — volumes quintupled between 2011 and 2019 with discounts of 30% or more. Ford had also drawn about $2.6 billion in tax subsidies since 2011, a third of all federal automotive incentives. Even rivals that pivoted earlier struggled: VW Brazil lost $3.7 billion since 2011, GM Brazil took $2.2 billion in cash injections, and Toyota Brazil needed $1 billion of intercompany debt forgiven.

Ford's compact-heavy lineup lost about $2,000 per car while rivals had already moved production to higher-margin SUVs.

High tax, labor and logistics costs plus a 35% import tariff made Brazilian-built cars uncompetitive for export.

Deep-discount fleet sales — up fivefold from 2011 to 2019 at 30%-plus discounts — masked the collapse in retail demand.

SUV plans were still on the drawing board in late 2019, two years behind competitors, and were shelved when COVID hit.

When rivals pivot the lineup, move fast: two years of delay in a high-cost market turned an SUV plan into a $12 billion retreat

Ford kept only import sales in Brazil, where a Mustang Mach 1 listed at $94,000 against $53,000 in the United States. More than 5,000 plant workers and almost 300 dealerships were left behind. South America head Lyle Watters cited an 'unfavorable economic environment, lower vehicle demand (and) higher industry idle capacity,' said there were 'no other viable options,' and moved to a new Ford role in China.

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The sources

  1. How Ford burned $12 billion in Brazil economictimes.indiatimes.com